Round of 16 · Match 43
Mon 25 Jan · time TBC · King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
Winner Group E v Runner-up Group D. If the higher-rated side always wins: South Korea v Iraq, South Korea advance.
Most likely match-ups
| Match-up | How often | First-named advances |
|---|---|---|
 South Korea v  Iraq | 48.8% | 75% |
 United Arab Emirates v Iraq | 16.3% | 53% |
South Korea v  Australia | 10.5% | 41% |
South Korea v  Tajikistan | 7.5% | 96% |
 Vietnam v Iraq | 4.5% | 32% |
| United Arab Emirates v Australia | 3.6% | 20% |
South Korea v  Singapore | 3.4% | 99% |
| United Arab Emirates v Tajikistan | 2.3% | 88% |
Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.
Winner Group E
| Team | Fills slot | Title | Route rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| KOR | 70.2% | 8.6% | |
| UAE | 23.3% | 1.0% | |
| VIE | 6.3% | <0.1% | |
 YEM | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Runner-up Group D
| Team | Fills slot | Title | Route rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| IRQ | 69.8% | 0.9% | |
| AUS | 15.1% | 17.6% | |
| TJK | 10.4% | <0.1% | |
| SGP | 4.7% | 0.0% |
Road through this tie
Reaching this round: Australia 100%, South Korea 99%, Iraq 95%, United Arab Emirates 93%.