Projected bracket
Each slot lists the teams most likely to fill it across 20,000 simulations. “Chalk” is who advances if the higher-rated side wins every match. Click any match for a preview. Chalk champion: Japan.
Round of 16
Match 37 · 22 Jan · RiyadhChalk: OMA
Runner-up A
OMAOman37%or PLE 36%, KSA 18%
Runner-up C
SYRSyria46%or CHN 26%, IRN 16%
Match 39 · 23 Jan · RiyadhChalk: AUS
Winner D
AUSAustralia84%or IRQ 15%, TJK 1%
3rd B/E/F
VIEVietnam30%or THA 16%, QAT 14%
Match 38 · 22 Jan · RiyadhChalk: UZB
Winner B
UZBUzbekistan50%or JOR 42%, PRK 5%
3rd A/C/D
OMAOman21%or PLE 21%, TJK 19%
Match 41 · 24 Jan · RiyadhChalk: JPN
Winner F
JPNJapan95%or QAT 3%, THA 2%
Runner-up E
UAEUnited Arab Emirates51%or KOR 24%, VIE 23%
Match 44 · 25 Jan · JeddahChalk: IRN
Winner C
IRNIran80%or SYR 13%, CHN 6%
3rd A/B/F
PRKNorth Korea24%or BHR 22%, JOR 11%
Match 43 · 25 Jan · RiyadhChalk: KOR
Winner E
KORSouth Korea70%or UAE 23%, VIE 6%
Runner-up D
IRQIraq70%or AUS 15%, TJK 10%
Match 40 · 23 Jan · Al KhobarChalk: KSA
Winner A
KSASaudi Arabia76%or OMA 12%, PLE 11%
3rd C/D/E
CHNChina24%or SYR 19%, KGZ 15%
Match 42 · 24 Jan · JeddahChalk: JOR
Runner-up B
JORJordan39%or UZB 35%, PRK 13%
Runner-up F
QATQatar44%or THA 34%, IDN 17%
Quarter-finals
Match 45 · 28 Jan · RiyadhChalk: AUS
Winner of match 37
SYRSyria21%or OMA 19%, PLE 19%
Winner of match 39
AUSAustralia75%or IRQ 10%, VIE 4%
Match 46 · 28 Jan · JeddahChalk: JPN
Winner of match 38
UZBUzbekistan40%or JOR 33%, PLE 6%
Winner of match 41
JPNJapan84%or UAE 7%, KOR 6%
Match 47 · 29 Jan · RiyadhChalk: IRN
Winner of match 44
IRNIran68%or SYR 7%, JOR 4%
Winner of match 43
KORSouth Korea52%or IRQ 22%, UAE 13%
Match 48 · 29 Jan · Al KhobarChalk: KSA
Winner of match 40
KSASaudi Arabia66%or OMA 8%, PLE 7%
Winner of match 42
JORJordan29%or UZB 26%, QAT 16%