Lab of One · Experiment
Asian Cup 2027 Model
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Round of 16 · Match 38

Fri 22 Jan · time TBC · Al Shabab Stadium, Riyadh

Winner Group B v 3rd A/C/D. If the higher-rated side always wins: Uzbekistan v Palestine, Uzbekistan advance.

Most likely match-ups

Match-upHow oftenFirst-named advances
Uzbekistan v Oman10.3%73%
Uzbekistan v Palestine10.1%74%
Uzbekistan v Tajikistan9.5%93%
Jordan v Palestine8.7%71%
Jordan v Oman8.7%70%
Jordan v Tajikistan8.1%92%
Uzbekistan v Kuwait5.5%92%
Uzbekistan v Singapore5.1%97%

Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.

Winner Group B

TeamFills slotTitle
UZB49.8%3.4%
JOR41.7%2.7%
PRK4.6%<0.1%
BHR3.9%<0.1%

3rd A/C/D

TeamFills slotTitle
OMA20.9%0.3%
PLE20.7%0.3%
TJK19.1%<0.1%
KUW11.0%0.0%
SGP9.5%0.0%
IRQ6.8%0.9%

Road through this tie

Reaching this round: Uzbekistan 95%, Iraq 95%, Jordan 93%, Oman 76%.