Lab of One · Experiment
Asian Cup 2027 Model
Back to bracket

Quarter-final · Match 46

Thu 28 Jan · time TBC · King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Jeddah

Winner of match 38 v Winner of match 41. If the higher-rated side always wins: Uzbekistan v Japan, Japan advance.

Most likely match-ups

Match-upHow oftenFirst-named advances
Uzbekistan v Japan33.7%16%
Jordan v Japan27.5%14%
Palestine v Japan5.1%5%
Oman v Japan5.0%5%
Uzbekistan v United Arab Emirates2.7%62%
Uzbekistan v South Korea2.5%38%
Jordan v United Arab Emirates2.3%58%
Jordan v South Korea2.1%35%

Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.

Winner of match 38

TeamFills slotTitle
UZB40.1%3.4%
JOR32.8%2.7%
PLE6.1%0.3%
OMA6.0%0.3%
KSA2.4%11.6%
IRQ2.3%0.9%

Winner of match 41

TeamFills slotTitle
JPN83.8%41.3%
UAE6.9%1.0%
KOR6.3%8.6%
VIE1.2%<0.1%
QAT1.0%<0.1%
THA0.6%<0.1%

Road through this tie

Reaching this round: Japan 88%, Saudi Arabia 83%, Uzbekistan 70%, Jordan 66%.