Round of 16 · Match 41
Sun 24 Jan · time TBC · King Fahd Sports City Stadium, Riyadh
Winner Group F v Runner-up Group E. If the higher-rated side always wins: Japan v United Arab Emirates, Japan advance.
Most likely match-ups
| Match-up | How often | First-named advances |
|---|---|---|
 Japan v  United Arab Emirates | 48.4% | 90% |
Japan v  South Korea | 22.4% | 75% |
Japan v  Vietnam | 21.5% | 97% |
Japan v  Yemen | 2.8% | 100% |
 Qatar v United Arab Emirates | 1.3% | 32% |
 Thailand v United Arab Emirates | 0.9% | 27% |
| Qatar v South Korea | 0.6% | 14% |
| Qatar v Vietnam | 0.6% | 54% |
Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.
Winner Group F
| Team | Fills slot | Title | Route rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| JPN | 95.2% | 41.3% | |
| QAT | 2.5% | <0.1% | |
| THA | 1.7% | <0.1% | |
 IDN | 0.6% | <0.1% |
Runner-up Group E
| Team | Fills slot | Title | Route rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| UAE | 50.8% | 1.0% | |
| KOR | 23.6% | 8.6% | |
| VIE | 22.7% | <0.1% | |
| YEM | 3.0% | 0.0% |
Road through this tie
Reaching this round: Japan 100%, South Korea 99%, United Arab Emirates 93%, Vietnam 70%.