Round of 16 · Match 40
Sat 23 Jan · time TBC · Aramco Stadium, Al Khobar
Winner Group A v 3rd C/D/E. If the higher-rated side always wins: Saudi Arabia v China, Saudi Arabia advance.
Most likely match-ups
| Match-up | How often | First-named advances |
|---|---|---|
 Saudi Arabia v  China | 18.4% | 90% |
Saudi Arabia v  Syria | 14.5% | 83% |
Saudi Arabia v  Kyrgyzstan | 11.5% | 96% |
Saudi Arabia v  Vietnam | 9.2% | 89% |
Saudi Arabia v  Tajikistan | 6.7% | 97% |
Saudi Arabia v  United Arab Emirates | 4.4% | 74% |
Saudi Arabia v  Singapore | 3.3% | 99% |
 Oman v China | 2.9% | 63% |
Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.
Winner Group A
| Team | Fills slot | Title | Route rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSA | 75.6% | 11.6% | |
| OMA | 12.0% | 0.3% | |
 PLE | 11.1% | 0.3% | |
 KUW | 1.3% | 0.0% |
3rd C/D/E
| Team | Fills slot | Title | Route rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHN | 24.4% | <0.1% | |
| SYR | 19.1% | 0.4% | |
| KGZ | 15.2% | 0.0% | |
| VIE | 11.6% | <0.1% | |
| TJK | 9.2% | <0.1% | |
| UAE | 5.6% | 1.0% |
Road through this tie
Reaching this round: Saudi Arabia 99%, United Arab Emirates 93%, Syria 80%, Oman 76%.