Lab of One · Experiment
Asian Cup 2027 Model
Back to bracket

Quarter-final · Match 48

Fri 29 Jan · time TBC · Aramco Stadium, Al Khobar

Winner of match 40 v Winner of match 42. If the higher-rated side always wins: Saudi Arabia v Jordan, Saudi Arabia advance.

Most likely match-ups

Match-upHow oftenFirst-named advances
Saudi Arabia v Jordan18.8%67%
Saudi Arabia v Uzbekistan17.4%63%
Saudi Arabia v Qatar10.8%86%
Saudi Arabia v Thailand7.1%90%
Saudi Arabia v North Korea3.8%92%
Saudi Arabia v Bahrain3.6%92%
Saudi Arabia v Indonesia2.6%95%
Saudi Arabia v Japan2.3%26%

Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.

Winner of match 40

TeamFills slotTitle
KSA66.4%11.6%
OMA7.7%0.3%
PLE7.2%0.3%
SYR4.5%0.4%
CHN4.1%<0.1%
VIE2.0%<0.1%

Winner of match 42

TeamFills slotTitle
JOR28.5%2.7%
UZB26.3%3.4%
QAT16.2%<0.1%
THA10.5%<0.1%
PRK5.5%<0.1%
BHR5.4%<0.1%

Road through this tie

Reaching this round: Saudi Arabia 83%, Uzbekistan 70%, Jordan 66%, Oman 34%.