Lab of One · Experiment
Asian Cup 2027 Model
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Round of 16 · Match 42

Sun 24 Jan · time TBC · Prince Abdullah Al Faisal Sports City Stadium, Jeddah

Runner-up Group B v Runner-up Group F. If the higher-rated side always wins: Jordan v Qatar, Jordan advance.

Most likely match-ups

Match-upHow oftenFirst-named advances
Jordan v Qatar17.3%75%
Uzbekistan v Qatar15.6%78%
Jordan v Thailand13.2%79%
Uzbekistan v Thailand11.7%82%
Jordan v Indonesia6.8%87%
Uzbekistan v Indonesia6.1%89%
Bahrain v Qatar5.8%37%
North Korea v Qatar5.8%39%

Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.

Runner-up Group B

TeamFills slotTitle
JOR38.9%2.7%
UZB34.9%3.4%
PRK13.3%<0.1%
BHR12.8%<0.1%

Runner-up Group F

TeamFills slotTitle
QAT44.5%<0.1%
THA33.8%<0.1%
IDN17.4%<0.1%
JPN4.3%41.3%

Road through this tie

Reaching this round: Japan 100%, Uzbekistan 95%, Jordan 93%, Qatar 66%.