Lab of One · Experiment
Asian Cup 2027 Model
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Final · Match 51

Fri 5 Feb · time TBC · King Fahd Sports City Stadium, Riyadh

Winner of match 49 v Winner of match 50. If the higher-rated side always wins: Japan v Iran, Japan advance.

Most likely match-ups

Match-upHow oftenFirst-named advances
Japan v Saudi Arabia14.8%74%
Japan v Iran13.7%73%
Japan v South Korea10.2%75%
Australia v Saudi Arabia7.4%58%
Australia v Iran7.0%57%
Australia v South Korea5.2%59%
Japan v Jordan3.2%86%
Japan v Uzbekistan3.2%84%

Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.

Winner of match 49

TeamFills slotTitle
JPN53.3%41.3%
AUS26.4%17.6%
UZB4.2%3.4%
JOR3.2%2.7%
KOR2.7%8.6%
KSA2.6%11.6%

Winner of match 50

TeamFills slotTitle
KSA27.0%11.6%
IRN25.6%11.5%
KOR18.6%8.6%
UZB5.9%3.4%
JOR5.9%2.7%
AUS3.8%17.6%

Road through this tie

Reaching this round: Japan 55%, Australia 30%, Saudi Arabia 30%, Iran 28%.