Lab of One · Experiment
Asian Cup 2027 Model
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Semi-final · Match 50

Tue 2 Feb · time TBC · King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Jeddah

Winner of match 47 v Winner of match 48. If the higher-rated side always wins: Iran v Saudi Arabia, Iran advance.

Most likely match-ups

Match-upHow oftenFirst-named advances
Iran v Saudi Arabia19.8%51%
South Korea v Saudi Arabia15.1%49%
Iran v Jordan5.5%67%
Iran v Uzbekistan5.2%64%
South Korea v Jordan3.9%65%
South Korea v Uzbekistan3.8%62%
Iraq v Saudi Arabia3.6%24%
Australia v Saudi Arabia2.6%58%

Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.

Winner of match 47

TeamFills slotTitle
IRN40.5%11.5%
KOR30.9%8.6%
IRQ7.6%0.9%
AUS5.7%17.6%
UAE5.2%1.0%
SYR2.4%0.4%

Winner of match 48

TeamFills slotTitle
KSA48.8%11.6%
JOR12.9%2.7%
UZB12.3%3.4%
QAT4.2%<0.1%
OMA3.4%0.3%
PLE3.3%0.3%

Road through this tie

Reaching this round: Australia 66%, Saudi Arabia 57%, Iran 47%, South Korea 37%.