Lab of One · Experiment
Asian Cup 2027 Model
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Semi-final · Match 49

Mon 1 Feb · time TBC · Aramco Stadium, Al Khobar

Winner of match 45 v Winner of match 46. If the higher-rated side always wins: Australia v Japan, Japan advance.

Most likely match-ups

Match-upHow oftenFirst-named advances
Australia v Japan43.0%33%
Australia v Uzbekistan5.7%70%
Saudi Arabia v Japan4.9%26%
Australia v Jordan4.4%73%
Iran v Japan4.2%27%
Iraq v Japan3.9%8%
Syria v Japan3.5%5%
Oman v Japan2.9%5%

Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.

Winner of match 45

TeamFills slotTitle
AUS60.0%17.6%
KSA6.8%11.6%
IRN5.8%11.5%
IRQ5.4%0.9%
SYR4.8%0.4%
OMA4.2%0.3%

Winner of match 46

TeamFills slotTitle
JPN71.5%41.3%
UZB9.5%3.4%
JOR7.4%2.7%
KOR4.1%8.6%
UAE3.3%1.0%
OMA0.8%0.3%

Road through this tie

Reaching this round: Japan 75%, Australia 66%, Saudi Arabia 57%, Iran 47%.