Lab of One · Experiment
Asian Cup 2027 Model
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Quarter-final · Match 45

Thu 28 Jan · time TBC · Kingdom Arena, Riyadh

Winner of match 37 v Winner of match 39. If the higher-rated side always wins: Oman v Australia, Australia advance.

Most likely match-ups

Match-upHow oftenFirst-named advances
Syria v Australia15.8%12%
Oman v Australia14.2%12%
Palestine v Australia13.9%12%
Saudi Arabia v Australia10.4%42%
Iran v Australia8.9%43%
China v Australia7.0%7%
Kyrgyzstan v Australia2.4%3%
Syria v Iraq2.1%41%

Advance odds include extra time and penalties, using listed ratings without uncertainty.

Winner of match 37

TeamFills slotTitle
SYR21.3%0.4%
OMA18.9%0.3%
PLE18.7%0.3%
KSA14.0%11.6%
IRN11.9%11.5%
CHN9.4%<0.1%

Winner of match 39

TeamFills slotTitle
AUS74.7%17.6%
IRQ10.3%0.9%
VIE3.7%<0.1%
UAE3.3%1.0%
QAT2.0%<0.1%
THA1.8%<0.1%

Road through this tie

Reaching this round: Australia 84%, Saudi Arabia 83%, Iran 82%, Iraq 36%.